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Core Scientific, Inc./tx (CORZ)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 2024 revenue of $94.9M declined 33% YoY and 0.5% QoQ; GAAP diluted EPS was $(0.60). Adjusted EBITDA was $13.3M versus $56.7M in Q4’23 as self-mining margins compressed post-halving and with the shift of capacity toward HPC hosting .
- Balance sheet was fortified by a $625M 0% convertible due 2031 and ended the quarter with $836.2M in cash; total debt rose to $1.124B with the 0%/3% converts layered in during 2H’24 .
- Strategic HPC inflection: CoreWeave expansion added ~70 MW at Denton (to ~260 MW on site), lifting total CoreWeave contracted critical IT load to ~590 MW and total potential revenue to >$10B over 12 years; delivery schedule now ~250 MW by YE25 and ~590 MW by early 2027 (push vs prior plan) .
- Mining KPIs reflected the April halving and mix shift: 974 BTC self-mined in Q4 (vs. 3,042 in Q4’23 and 1,115 in Q3’24) at $51,035 cash cost/BTC; fleet power averaged $0.037/kWh in Q4 and ~$0.040/kWh for 2024 (beat 4.2–4.4c guidance) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Landmark HPC expansion: “With this latest expansion, our total contracted value with CoreWeave now exceeds $10 billion,” and ~590 MW contracted across six sites; Denton becomes “one of the largest GPU supercomputers in North America” .
- Balance sheet and liquidity: $625M 0% convert in December and $460M 3% convert in August lowered cost of capital; cash $836.2M at 12/31/24 .
- Power cost execution: Q4 fleet power rate $0.037/kWh; 2024 average ~$0.040/kWh vs. 4.2–4.4c guidance target; management emphasized cost discipline and non-GAAP cash margins for HPC (16% in Q4) .
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What Went Wrong
- Revenue/margin compression: Total revenue down 33% YoY; self-mining gross margin fell to 2% (from 29% YoY) on lower BTC mined post‑halving and mix shift to HPC .
- Timeline push: CoreWeave delivery schedule updated to ~250 MW by YE25 and ~590 MW early 2027 vs. prior 500 MW by 2H’26; drivers included permitting and supply chain complexities for larger-scale, next-gen GPU specs .
- Opex higher: Q4 operating expenses rose to $43.6M (+$13.6M YoY) on headcount for HPC transition, stock-based comp, and post-emergence advisory fees; GAAP net loss widened to $(265.5)M on warrant/CVR mark-to-market .
Financial Results
Overall P&L snapshot (oldest → newest)
Segment revenue and margins (oldest → newest)
Key KPIs (oldest → newest)
Notes: HPC non-GAAP cash gross margin for Q4 was ~16% (excludes power pass-through and some non-cash) .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO: “With this latest expansion, our total contracted value with CoreWeave now exceeds $10 billion…We view this as one of the largest HPC deployments in the United States.” .
- CEO: “Denton is going to be one of the largest supercomputers in the United States” .
- CFO: “Our 2024 average annual fleet-wide power rate of $0.04 per kilowatt hour…our average fleet-wide power rate for the fourth quarter was $0.037” .
- CFO: “We do not expect to increase or refresh our Bitcoin mining fleet until…second half of 2025…We are not planning any further CapEx this year associated with our Bitcoin mining business.” .
- CEO on diversification: “Top priority…sign enough contracts so that CoreWeave represents less than 50% of critical IT load by the end of 2028.” .
Q&A Highlights
- Permitting/supply chain drove schedule shift: incremental design changes for GB200/GB300 readiness and equipment availability required permit revisions; confidence in revised timelines .
- Denton economics: new 70 MW tranche keeps same rents; CORZ funds ~$1.5M/MW on this piece, receiving full rent with no capex credit offset for first two years .
- Demand resilience post-DeepSeek: pipeline strength intact; customers want faster delivery and more diligence; preference for sites near metros for latency .
- Capital allocation: large cash balance enables selective funding; long-term goal to evolve toward investment-grade capital structure in a high-capex industry .
- Target cadence: ~250 MW critical IT load delivered by YE’25 (includes 16.5 MW Austin), with a prior 140 MW building pushed into early ’26 .
Estimates Context
- We attempted to retrieve Q4 2024 S&P Global consensus (revenue, EPS, EBITDA) for CORZ, but the request was blocked due to an SPGI daily limit; therefore, we cannot present vs-consensus comparisons for Q4 2024 at this time. We will update once S&P Global access is available [SPGI request limit error].
Key Takeaways for Investors
- HPC pivot is real and scaling: contracted CoreWeave critical IT load rose to ~590 MW with >$10B in potential revenue, positioning CORZ as a top AI/HPC data center partner; execution on delivery schedule is the key swing factor .
- Timeline push vs. Q3 plan is the main overhang: ~250 MW by YE’25 and ~590 MW early 2027 (vs. 500 MW by 2H’26 previously) reflects permitting/equipment realities; delivery credibility will drive multiple .
- Balance sheet improved materially: $625M 0% + $460M 3% converts reduced funding cost and increased flexibility; cash $836M provides runway to co-fund select HPC builds (e.g., $1.5M/MW at Denton expansion) .
- Mining headwinds largely macro/mix-driven: BTC halving and capacity reallocation compressed self-mining margins; power cost execution (3.7c in Q4) and planned Block chip refresh in 2H’25 are levers to stabilize mining economics .
- Customer diversification is now the #1 2025 objective: Management aims for CoreWeave to be <50% of critical IT load by 2028; signing a second hyperscaler/enterprise tenant would be a major de-risking event .
- Watch near-term catalysts: additional site power allocations, new customer signings, monthly production updates, and construction milestones at Denton/Austin/Auburn; these will likely drive sentiment as consensus numbers become available .
Appendix – Additional Relevant Disclosures and Press Releases
- Denton lease amendments expanded land/power access (to ~394 MW) to enable HPC growth .
- December 2024: $550M upsized 0% convert pricing (~$22.49 conversion), settled Dec 5; later reflected as $625M note outstanding by 12/31/24 .
- Production cadence: December 2024 monthly operations release published Jan 6, 2025 (see IR site) [37: header listing].
Notes on sources:
- Q4 2024 8‑K and press release excerpts and financial statements .
- Q4 2024 earnings call transcript –.
- Q3 2024 8‑K and press release, statements and call transcript –.
- CoreWeave expansion press release (Feb 26, 2025) .
- Convertible notes press release (Dec 3, 2024) .
If you want us to add vs-consensus beats/misses and estimate revisions once S&P Global access is restored, say the word and we’ll append an estimates section with the full comparison.